A guilty plea or a guilty verdict does not decide your sentence. In federal court, the number of months or years is decided later, at a separate sentencing hearing, after weeks of reports, objections, and written arguments.

That gap is where careful federal sentencing work can change the outcome. This guide explains how sentencing works in Houston federal court, how the guideline range is calculated, what is scheduled to change on November 1, 2026, and what can still support a lower sentence.

If you or someone you love is waiting to be sentenced, you are probably worried about time away from family, work, and home. The sentencing phase is still a fight, and there are real tools left to use.

If you are facing federal sentencing in Houston, speak with a federal sentencing lawyer before the presentence report, objection deadlines, and sentencing hearing limit your options.

What a federal sentencing lawyer does

Most federal convictions are resolved by a guilty plea rather than a jury verdict. For those defendants, sentencing is the proceeding that decides the punishment and may determine when they return to their families, careers, and communities.

Federal sentencing has its own rules, deadlines, and evidence. Effective representation means testing the government’s numbers, preserving legal objections, and building a record that gives the judge lawful reasons to impose a lower sentence.

Our work at sentencing usually includes:

  • Auditing the guideline calculation: Checking every point and level the probation officer and the government assign, and finding the mistakes.
  • Preparing you for the presentence interview: Deciding what you will discuss with the probation officer and what you will not.
  • Filing written objections: Challenging errors in the presentence report within the 14-day deadline.
  • Identifying every path below the range: Variances, the safety valve, substantial assistance, role reductions, and other reductions you may qualify for.
  • Building the mitigation record: Gathering records, letters, and expert reports that tell the judge who you are beyond the charge.
  • Writing the sentencing memorandum: The main written argument for the sentence we are asking for.
  • Arguing at the hearing: Presenting witnesses, answering the prosecutor, and helping you prepare what you will say to the judge.
  • Protecting what comes next: Requesting facility and program recommendations, and preserving issues for appeal.

Even a one- or two-level correction can materially change the advisory range.

How federal sentencing works in Houston today

Federal cases in the Houston area are heard in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Texas, Houston Division. Sentencing hearings take place at the Bob Casey United States Courthouse at 515 Rusk Avenue in downtown Houston.

The judge decides the sentence. But the judge relies heavily on the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines, the presentence report, and the written arguments from both sides.

The Southern District of Texas by the numbers

When probation hands you a presentence report, the guideline range can look final. It is not: the report is probation’s analysis, and both sides may object before the judge resolves disputed issues.

The U.S. Sentencing Commission’s statistical packets for the Southern District of Texas show how often judges here sentence below the range:

Southern District of Texas · FY2023–FY2025

Where sentences land against the range

Below the range Within the range Above the range
FY2023 6,425 sentenced
45.3%
53.2%
FY2024 6,122 sentenced
41.4%
57.2%
FY2025 7,545 sentenced
29.1%
69.6%

Above-range sentences stayed at about 1.5% or less each year. The guideline range does not end the sentencing analysis.

Keith & Lorfing

A few points stand out:

  • Below-range sentences occur regularly. In FY2025, 29.1% of people included in the guideline-position data received a sentence below the range.
  • Variances are the steadiest category. Roughly one in five people received a downward variance each year, between 17.3% and 20.6%.
  • Fast-track reductions were one important part of the decline from FY2023, falling from 13.8% to 2.6% by FY2025. Those programs are used mainly in immigration cases.
  • Above-range sentences are rare, at about 1.5% or less each year.

These figures cover the whole district, and about 80% of FY2025 cases were immigration cases. They describe how judges in the district sentence, not how any one case will turn out.

The lesson is still clear. The guideline range matters, but it does not end the sentencing analysis.

Three ways sentences fall below the range

Below-range sentences generally come through three mechanisms. Each works differently, and the defense does not control all three.

  1. Downward variances under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a): The defense can present a mitigation record addressing criminal history, family obligations, medical needs, personal history, role, rehabilitation, and other case-specific facts. The judge decides whether those facts justify a sentence below the range.
  2. Government-sponsored reductions: The main example is a § 5K1.1 motion for substantial assistance. These reductions may result from cooperation, and the government ordinarily controls whether the motion is filed.
  3. Other guideline-authorized reductions: These include early disposition or “fast-track” programs and the limited departure provisions that remain after the 2025 amendments.

The third category is shrinking. The Commission removed most departure provisions on November 1, 2025, so facts that once supported a departure must now be argued as a variance. That makes defense-driven variance work even more important going forward.

The two-step process after the 2025 amendments

For years, federal sentencing followed three steps: calculate the range, consider “departures,” then consider the broader factors in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).

The 2025 simplification amendment, effective November 1, 2025, removed most departure provisions from the Guidelines Manual. Substantial assistance and early disposition (“fast-track”) programs remain.

Sentencing now follows two steps:

  1. Calculate the guideline range correctly.
  2. Apply the § 3553(a) factors to decide what sentence is “sufficient, but not greater than necessary.”

The Commission intended the change to be outcome neutral. Facts that used to support a departure, such as age, health, military service, or family responsibilities, can still be argued as reasons for a variance.

This matters because some lawyers and websites still describe departures as if nothing changed. A sentencing memorandum built on outdated rules is weaker from the start.

Statutory minimums and maximums set the outer limits

The guidelines work inside the limits Congress set for each crime. A statutory maximum caps the sentence, and a mandatory minimum sets a floor the judge generally cannot go below.

Mandatory minimums are common in drug cases, certain federal firearm cases under 18 U.S.C. § 924(c), and some child exploitation offenses. Only a few tools can get below a mandatory minimum, and we cover them later in this guide.

The federal sentencing timeline: From guilty plea to judgment

Federal sentencing follows a written schedule. Missing a step, especially the objection deadline, can cost you arguments you will not get back.

This timeline combines Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 32 with the Southern District of Texas Local Criminal Rule 32:

StageWhat happensKey timing
Guilty plea or verdictCourt orders the presentence process and establishes the initial scheduleAt the plea or verdict
Presentence interviewA U.S. Probation Officer interviews you about your background and, sometimes, the offenseShortly after the plea
Initial presentence reportProbation prepares the report and the guideline calculationLocal rule’s normal schedule is 35 days
DisclosureYou, your lawyer, and the prosecutor receive the reportAt least 35 days before sentencing, unless waived
Written objectionsBoth sides object to errors in the reportWithin 14 days of disclosure
Final report and addendumProbation sends the final report to the judge, with unresolved objections listedNo later than 7 days before sentencing
Sentencing memorandaDefense and government file their written argumentsSet by the judge’s scheduling order
Sentencing hearingJudge rules on objections, hears argument and allocution, imposes sentenceAt least 7 days after the final report, unless waived
JudgmentWritten judgment is entered on the docketAfter the hearing

Under the local rule’s normal schedule, the investigation period and the 35-day disclosure window alone add up to roughly ten weeks. That time is not a waiting period. It is the window to build your sentencing case.

The presentence interview

The presentence interview is usually your first conversation with the probation officer. For Houston Division cases, the U.S. Probation Office is located in the Bob Casey Courthouse.

The officer will ask about your family, education, work history, health, finances, and criminal history. Your answers and the records you provide shape the report the judge reads.

The local rule lets defense counsel attend the interview on request. We recommend that your lawyer be there.

Before the interview, we help you:

  • Gather records that support your history, such as employment, medical, military, and education records
  • Decide whether to discuss the offense itself, and how
  • Avoid statements that could hurt acceptance of responsibility or support a new enhancement
  • Answer financial questions accurately, since they affect fines and restitution

The presentence report

The presentence report, or PSR, is the most influential document at sentencing. It describes the offense, your background, your criminal history, and the guideline calculation.

The court may accept undisputed portions of the final PSR as accurate. That is why errors are dangerous: an unchallenged statement can affect the guideline calculation and how the case is understood later.

The PSR also follows you to the Bureau of Prisons. It affects your security classification, facility placement, and program eligibility.

Objections: The 14-day window

Rule 32 gives both sides 14 days after receiving the report to object in writing. Objections can challenge facts, guideline calculations, and missing information.

Common objections we raise include:

  • Loss or drug quantity: The amount attributed is inflated, double counted, or not supported by reliable evidence.
  • Role in the offense: The report labels you a leader or manager when you were not, or fails to give a mitigating role reduction.
  • Enhancements: A weapon, obstruction, or “sophisticated means” enhancement that the facts do not support.
  • Criminal history scoring: Old convictions counted when they should not be, or misdemeanors scored incorrectly.
  • Factual errors: Mistakes about your background, family, or conduct that could affect the judge’s view of you.

If the probation officer does not accept an objection, it goes to the judge in an addendum. At the hearing, the judge must rule on disputed matters that affect the sentence.

The sentencing hearing

At the hearing, the judge first resolves any remaining objections and determines the guideline range. Then each side argues for the sentence it believes is appropriate.

You have the right to speak to the judge before the sentence is imposed. This is called allocution, and it is guaranteed by Rule 32(i)(4).

The judge will then announce the sentence, including any prison term, supervised release, fine, restitution, and the mandatory special assessment. The judge may also make recommendations to the Bureau of Prisons about where you serve your sentence and what programs you join.

How the guideline range is calculated, and where it goes wrong

The guideline range comes from a sentencing table with two axes.

One axis is the offense level, from 1 to 43. The other is your criminal history category, from I to VI.

Where they meet is your range in months. A two-level change can move the range by many months, especially at higher offense levels.

Offense level

The offense level starts with a base number set by the guideline for your offense. It then moves up or down based on specific facts.

Common factors that raise the offense level include:

  • Loss amount in fraud, theft, and tax cases
  • Drug type and quantity in drug cases
  • Possession of a firearm or other dangerous weapon
  • Number of victims or harm to vulnerable victims
  • Use of “sophisticated means”
  • An aggravating role, such as organizer or leader
  • Obstruction of justice

Factors that can lower it include a mitigating role and acceptance of responsibility.

Criminal history category

Your criminal history category is based on points for prior convictions. The number of points depends on the length of each prior sentence, how long ago it was, and whether you were on supervision when the new offense happened.

Criminal history scoring is technical, and mistakes are common. Old convictions, juvenile matters, and certain misdemeanors may not count at all, depending on the dates and the type of offense.

Relevant conduct

The guidelines do not look only at the count you pleaded to. Under the “relevant conduct” rule in U.S.S.G. § 1B1.3, the range can include related conduct that was part of the same course of conduct or common scheme, even if it was not charged—a major issue in many federal conspiracy cases.

This is one of the main reasons sentences come out higher than people expect. Limiting relevant conduct can be one of the most important disputes at federal sentencing.

One change helps here. Since November 1, 2024, the guidelines exclude conduct for which you were charged and acquitted in federal court from relevant conduct, with a narrow exception for conduct that also helps establish the offense of conviction.

Sentencing-table illustration: How one number changes the range

This numerical illustration shows how the math works; it is not a case study or claimed result. It assumes a wire-fraud offense, Criminal History Category I, acceptance of responsibility, eligibility for the zero-point offender reduction, and a disputed loss of $1.6 million.

Under the loss table in effect through October 31, 2026:

StepLevel
Base offense level (wire fraud)7
Loss more than $1.5 million+16
Acceptance of responsibility−3
Zero-point offender reduction−2
Total offense level18
Guideline range (Criminal History I)27–33 months

The range moves from 27–33 months to 15–21 months based on the supported loss amount and the manual that applies. That is why every number in the PSR needs to be tested.

Illustration · Wire fraud · Criminal History I

How one number changes the range

Through Oct. 31, 2026 $1.6 million loss +16 levels · total 18
27–33
From Nov. 1, 2026 $1.6 million loss +14 levels · total 16
21–27
From Nov. 1, 2026 $700,000 loss +12 levels · total 14
15–21

The range depends on the supported loss amount and the manual that applies. Every number in the PSR needs to be tested.

Keith & Lorfing

What changes on November 1, 2026, and why your sentencing date matters

The U.S. Sentencing Commission submitted its 2026 amendments to Congress on April 30, 2026. They are scheduled to take effect on November 1, 2026, unless Congress acts to block them.

The changes most likely to affect Houston cases include:

  • Inflation-adjusted loss tables: Dollar thresholds in the fraud and theft guideline (§ 2B1.1) rise. For example, the top of the “no increase” bracket moves from $6,500 to $9,000, and the 16-level bracket now starts above $2 million instead of $1.5 million. Related tables for tax, robbery, burglary, and fines also change.
  • New multiple-count rules: The five existing guidelines in Chapter Three, Part D are consolidated into a new § 3D1.1 framework. Related offenses can still be combined, but the method for calculating multiple counts changes.
  • Fentanyl-related substances: The drug quantity table adds fentanyl-related substances, with a rebuttable presumption that allows a lower calculation if the substance is shown to be significantly less potent or to block fentanyl’s effects.
  • Deleted enhancements: Twenty-six rarely used specific offense characteristics are removed.
  • Reorganized sentencing options: Imprisonment options by zone are collected into one section, without changing the ranges.

Which Guidelines Manual applies to you?

Courts generally use the Guidelines Manual in effect on the date of sentencing. That rule comes from U.S.S.G. § 1B1.11.

There is one important exception. In Peugh v. United States (2013), the Supreme Court held that using a newer manual violates the Constitution’s Ex Post Facto Clause if it produces a higher range than the manual in effect when the offense was committed.

In practice, this generally means:

  • If the new manual helps you: It generally applies if sentencing occurs on or after November 1, 2026.
  • If the new manual increases the range: The court must examine whether applying it to earlier conduct would create an ex post facto problem. If it would, the manual in effect when the offense was committed generally applies.

If your sentencing is close to November 1, 2026, the date itself may become a strategic question. In a fraud case, counsel may consider whether a continuance is lawful and helpful, or whether the Commission’s new loss thresholds support a variance before the effective date.

The Commission did not obtain the votes required to make the inflation-adjustment amendment retroactive. As a result, someone already sentenced generally cannot use that amendment alone to seek a reduction under 18 U.S.C. § 3582(c)(2).

Fraud sentencing: Where the number gets built

Federal fraud cases may involve healthcare billing, employee embezzlement, government benefits, bank transactions, or wire communications. In these cases, § 2B1.1 can add levels for loss, victims, sophisticated means, and other facts.

The danger is stacking. Each enhancement may appear modest on its own, but several increases can move the final range sharply upward.

Loss amount is the engine of the sentence

Loss usually drives a fraud sentence more than any other factor. Under the guidelines, loss works like a ladder, and each threshold crossed adds offense levels.

The guidelines use the greater of actual loss or intended loss. Intended loss is what the person meant to take, even if they never got it. Prosecutors often push for the highest intended-loss figure they can support.

The government’s loss figure may come from a spreadsheet, sampling method, witness estimate, or set of assumptions. We examine the source of each figure instead of treating the final total as self-proving.

Common ways to challenge loss include:

  • Credits against loss: Money returned, and the fair market value of property or services provided to the victim before the offense was detected, generally reduce the loss figure. Collateral the victim recovers can also count.
  • Double counting: The same dollar sometimes appears more than once, through different victims, accounts, or transactions.
  • Intent: Intended loss must be based on what the defendant actually meant to take. A large number on paper is not automatically proof of intent.
  • Causation and foreseeability: Actual loss must be reasonably foreseeable harm caused by the offense, not losses caused by something else.

Loss litigation is often the real trial in a fraud case. If the government’s number goes unchallenged, it can set much of the sentence before the hearing begins.

Victim counts

The fraud guideline adds levels based on the number of victims and the harm they suffered. Under the current guideline, the offense level increases by:

  • 2 levels if the offense involved 10 or more victims, mass marketing, or substantial financial hardship to at least one victim
  • 4 levels if it caused substantial financial hardship to 5 or more victims
  • 6 levels if it caused substantial financial hardship to 25 or more victims

The government’s victim list should be checked line by line. We look for duplicate entries, whether each person meets the guideline definition of a victim, and whether the claimed hardship was caused by the offense. Reimbursement may affect the loss analysis, but it does not automatically remove someone from the victim count.

Sophisticated means

The “sophisticated means” enhancement adds two levels when the offense involved especially complex or intricate conduct and the defendant intentionally engaged in or caused that conduct. It does not require every step of the offense to be sophisticated.

The guideline commentary says hiding assets or transactions through fictitious entities, corporate shells, or offshore accounts ordinarily indicates sophisticated means. The Fifth Circuit has upheld the enhancement where the conduct, taken as a whole, made the offense harder to detect, even when no single step was especially complex (United States v. Lightfoot, 5th Cir. 2020).

The enhancement can still be fought. Common arguments include:

  • Legitimate business structure: The entities or accounts existed for ordinary business or tax reasons, not to hide anything.
  • Repetitive, simple conduct: The conduct was a series of routine transfers, not a layered scheme built to avoid detection.
  • Individual responsibility: The evidence does not show that the defendant intentionally engaged in or caused the allegedly sophisticated conduct.

Sentencing-table illustration: How enhancements can stack

This numerical illustration is not a real case or claimed result. It assumes Criminal History Category I, eligibility for the zero-point reduction, a $300,000 loss allegation, and a disputed sophisticated-means enhancement.

StepSentenced through Oct. 31, 2026Sentenced on or after Nov. 1, 2026
Base offense level77
Loss of $300,000+12+10
Sophisticated means+2+2
Government’s starting level21 (37–46 months)19 (30–37 months)

Now suppose the defense defeats the sophisticated means enhancement, and the person receives acceptance of responsibility and the zero-point offender reduction:

StepSentenced through Oct. 31, 2026Sentenced on or after Nov. 1, 2026
Remove sophisticated means−2−2
Acceptance of responsibility−3−3
Zero-point offender reduction−2−2
Final level14 (15–21 months)12 (10–16 months)

The illustrated range moves from 37–46 months to 10–16 months, depending on which enhancements are supported, whether the reductions apply, and which loss table governs. The actual calculation must be based on the evidence and the defendant’s individual circumstances.

Ways to get below the guideline range or the mandatory minimum

The guideline range is advisory. Since United States v. Booker (2005), judges must calculate it and consider it, but they are not required to follow it.

Here are the main tools for getting below the range, and in some cases below a mandatory minimum.

Variances under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)

A variance is a sentence outside the range based on the factors in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a). The judge must impose a sentence “sufficient, but not greater than necessary” to meet the purposes of sentencing.

Those factors include:

  • The nature and circumstances of the offense
  • Your history and characteristics
  • The need for punishment, deterrence, and public protection
  • Your need for treatment, education, or medical care
  • The kinds of sentences available
  • The guideline range
  • The need to avoid unwarranted differences between similar defendants
  • The need to provide restitution

Arguments that often support a variance include a minor role, lack of criminal history, serious health problems, older age, military service, family members who depend on you, a difficult upbringing or trauma, addiction that is being treated, and strong work history. Each argument is stronger when it is backed by records rather than statements.

A variance alone cannot reduce a mandatory minimum. The main paths below the floor are safety-valve relief and a government motion under § 3553(e); a negotiated charge may also determine whether a minimum applies in the first place.

The safety valve

The safety valve in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f) allows a judge to sentence below a qualifying drug mandatory minimum. In covered § 2D1.1 cases, meeting the criteria also supports a two-level guideline reduction.

To qualify, a defendant generally must:

  • Meet the statute’s criminal history limits
  • Not have used violence or possessed a firearm in connection with the offense
  • Not have caused death or serious bodily injury
  • Not have been an organizer, leader, manager, or supervisor
  • Truthfully provide the government all information about the offense before sentencing

In Pulsifer v. United States (2024), the Supreme Court held that a defendant is disqualified by any one of three criminal history conditions: more than four points (excluding one-point offenses), a prior three-point offense, or a prior two-point violent offense. That narrowed who qualifies, so criminal history must be scored carefully.

The safety valve is not cooperation. It requires truthful disclosure about your own offense, but it does not require that the information be useful to the government, and it does not require testimony against anyone.

Substantial assistance

If you provide substantial assistance in investigating or prosecuting someone else, the government can file a motion under U.S.S.G. § 5K1.1. A motion under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(e) can also allow a sentence below the mandatory minimum.

Cooperation after sentencing can lead to a reduction under Rule 35(b). The government generally must file that motion within one year of sentencing, with some exceptions.

Cooperation is a serious decision with real risks:

  • The government ordinarily controls the motion: Court review of a refusal is limited, such as when the refusal rests on an unconstitutional motive or violates an enforceable plea agreement.
  • The extent of any reduction is up to the judge.
  • Proffer sessions carry legal risk, depending on the terms of the proffer agreement.
  • Safety concerns can affect you and your family.

Cooperation terms should be clearly defined and documented. Do not rely on informal assurances from an agent or prosecutor about what you will receive.

Mitigating role in drug cases

Some people in Houston drug cases are accused of a limited function, such as carrying, relaying messages, or acting as a lookout. The guidelines allow a reduction for a minor or minimal role under U.S.S.G. § 3B1.2.

The 2025 drug amendments strengthened this reduction. The commentary now says a mitigating role adjustment is generally warranted for people whose primary function was among the lowest-level trafficking roles, such as couriers, lookouts, or people running errands or sending messages.

The amendment also strengthens the limit on the base offense level for these defendants in high-quantity cases. For a minimal participant who receives the four-level role reduction, the base offense level is now capped at 30.

For a low-level participant held responsible for a large drug quantity, the role finding can materially lower the advisory range.

Zero-point offender reduction

Since November 1, 2023, people with no criminal history points may receive a two-level reduction under U.S.S.G. § 4C1.1, if they meet the criteria.

Disqualifying factors include violence or credible threats, a firearm or dangerous weapon, certain sex offenses, an aggravating role, and personally causing substantial financial hardship. Eligibility should be checked early, because it can also shape the plea negotiation.

Acceptance of responsibility

Under U.S.S.G. § 3E1.1, a defendant who clearly accepts responsibility can receive a two-level reduction. If the offense level is 16 or higher, the government can move for one additional level when the defendant pleads guilty in a timely way.

This reduction can be lost. Denying relevant conduct falsely, committing new crimes, or obstructing justice before sentencing can cost you these levels.

These tools overlap, and the order in which they are raised matters. Whenever possible, eligibility should be checked before the plea rather than after the presentence report arrives.

Building the mitigation case: What persuades a federal judge

Federal judges read a great deal before a sentencing hearing. The defense’s job is to give the judge specific, credible reasons to choose a lower sentence.

The sentencing memorandum

The sentencing memorandum is the defense’s main written argument. A strong memo usually includes:

  • The correct guideline calculation, and why any disputed enhancement should not apply
  • Your life story, told through records rather than general statements
  • The § 3553(a) analysis, tying each factor to evidence
  • Comparable sentences, showing how similar defendants have been sentenced
  • A specific requested sentence, and why it is enough to meet the goals of sentencing
  • Supporting exhibits, such as letters, medical records, treatment records, certificates, and employment records

The government may file its own memorandum asking for a sentence within or above the range. Our memorandum should answer the government’s arguments, not just repeat yours.

Character letters that help

Letters from family, friends, employers, and community members can make a real difference. But generic letters are easy for a judge to skim past.

Letters that help most usually:

  • Are addressed to the judge and submitted through your lawyer
  • Explain how the writer knows you and for how long
  • Describe specific examples of your character, work, or care for others
  • Acknowledge that the writer knows about the conviction
  • Explain the concrete effect your absence would have, such as on children or an aging parent
  • Avoid attacking the prosecution, the victims, or the court

We review letters before they are filed. A letter that minimizes the offense can hurt more than it helps.

Allocution: What you say to the judge

Allocution is your chance to speak directly to the judge. It is the one point in the hearing when the judge hears from you, not from the lawyers.

Effective allocution is short, sincere, and in your own words. It usually accepts responsibility, acknowledges harm to others, and explains what you are doing to change.

We help you prepare, but we do not replace your voice with legal language. A short and genuine statement is usually stronger than one that sounds scripted.

What does not work

Some common arguments carry little weight on their own:

  • Promises of future good behavior without any record to support them
  • Family hardship claims without documentation
  • Blaming co-defendants, victims, or law enforcement
  • Arguing that the guidelines are simply too high, without facts specific to you
  • Letters that all say the same thing in the same words

Sentencing by offense type in the Southern District of Texas

Sentences vary widely by offense. The table below shows FY2025 averages for the district from the U.S. Sentencing Commission.

Offense typeMean sentenceMedian sentenceIssues that often drive the number
Child pornography123 months96 monthsImage counts, distribution enhancements, mandatory minimums
Money laundering118 months97 monthsValue of laundered funds, underlying offense level
Drug trafficking79 months60 monthsDrug quantity, purity, role, firearm, safety valve
Firearms43 months36 monthsPrior convictions, § 924(c) consecutive minimums
Fraud, theft, embezzlement19 months6 monthsLoss amount, number of victims, sophisticated means
Immigration10 months5 monthsPrior removals, prior convictions, fast-track eligibility

These are averages across many different cases. An individual sentence depends on the statute, guideline findings, criminal history, evidence, and § 3553(a) factors.

For its averages, the Commission counts probation as zero months and caps sentences longer than 470 months at 470 months.

Common mistakes before federal sentencing

Many of the hardest sentencing problems we see were created after the plea. The most common include:

  • Talking about the case on jail phones: Calls from detention facilities are generally recorded and can be used at sentencing.
  • Going to the presentence interview unprepared: Unplanned statements about the offense can raise relevant conduct or create an obstruction issue.
  • Missing the 14-day objection deadline: Errors that are not raised in time can become part of the official record.
  • Assuming the plea agreement controls the sentence: In most plea agreements, the judge is not bound by the parties’ recommendations.
  • Waiting to gather mitigation: Medical records, school records, and letters take time to collect.
  • Deleting or “cleaning up” records: Destroying emails, texts, or financial records can lead to an obstruction enhancement, loss of acceptance of responsibility, or new charges. Digital records may also show what existed, what was removed, and when it was deleted.
  • New arrests or supervision violations: Any new trouble before sentencing can cost acceptance of responsibility and hurt credibility with the judge.
  • Ignoring the date of sentencing: With amendments taking effect November 1, 2026, the date can affect the range in some cases.

After the sentence: Surrender, prison placement, and how time is served

Sentencing day is not the end of the work. Several decisions made at and after the hearing affect how and where the sentence is served.

Self-surrender or immediate custody

Some defendants are allowed to report to prison on a set date, which is called voluntary surrender. Others are taken into custody at the hearing.

Under 18 U.S.C. § 3143, detention after a guilty finding is the general rule unless the judge finds by clear and convincing evidence that you are not a flight risk or danger. For certain offenses, including many drug offenses with a maximum of 10 years or more and crimes of violence, detention is required with only narrow exceptions.

If voluntary surrender is possible, it should be argued for, with a plan, before the hearing. It gives you time to arrange family, work, and medical matters.

Facility recommendations and RDAP

The Bureau of Prisons decides where you serve your sentence. Its Designation and Sentence Computation Center in Grand Prairie, Texas, considers security level, medical needs, programs, and judicial recommendations.

The BOP generally treats placement within 500 driving miles of the release residence as reasonably close, but placement there is not guaranteed. A judicial recommendation is not binding, although the BOP considers it when practicable.

We often ask the judge to recommend:

  • A specific facility or region close to family
  • The Residential Drug Abuse Program (RDAP), if you have a documented substance use history
  • Educational, vocational, or mental health programs

Completing RDAP can make some people eligible for a reduction of up to one year, but the Bureau of Prisons determines admission and early-release eligibility. The PSR is an important source of substance-use information, so the history should be reported accurately and supported where possible.

How federal time is actually served

There is no parole in the federal system for offenses committed after November 1, 1987. But a federal sentence is usually not served day for day.

  • Good conduct time: Under 18 U.S.C. § 3624(b), eligible people serving more than one year can earn up to 54 days for each year of the sentence imposed.
  • First Step Act time credits: Eligible people can earn credits through approved programs, which may be applied toward earlier transfer to prerelease custody or supervised release. Certain offenses are excluded.
  • Supervised release: Most federal prison sentences are followed by a term of supervised release. Since November 1, 2025, the guidelines call for an individualized decision about whether supervision is needed and what conditions make sense.

Appeals and other post-sentencing deadlines

Many post-sentencing deadlines are only 14 days long.

  • Notice of appeal: Must generally be filed within 14 days after the judgment is entered.
  • Rule 35(a): A court may correct a clear arithmetical, technical, or other clear error within 14 days after sentencing.
  • Rule 35(b): Allows a reduction for substantial assistance, generally on a government motion within one year.
  • Compassionate release: Under 18 U.S.C. § 3582(c)(1)(A), a court may reduce a sentence for extraordinary and compelling reasons after the statutory administrative requirement is satisfied.
  • Retroactive guideline amendments: When the Commission makes an amendment retroactive, eligible people can ask for a reduction under § 3582(c)(2).

Many plea agreements include an appeal waiver, which limits what can be raised. That makes it even more important to get the sentencing right the first time.

How our firm approaches federal sentencing

Keith & Lorfing is headquartered in Houston and accepts federal engagements nationwide. Our federal sentencing practice brings together lawyers and investigators with experience inside federal prosecutions, defense matters, investigations, and the judiciary.

What our team brings to a Houston federal sentencing includes:

  • Former federal prosecutor: Managing partner Russell Lorfing served as an Assistant United States Attorney. He is admitted in the Southern District of Texas and the Fifth Circuit.
  • Electronic-evidence experience: Russell has trained federal prosecutors and lectured for the FBI, IRS, and DEA on electronic evidence and related subjects.
  • Judicial perspective: Hon. E. Scott Frost (Ret.) is a former U.S. Magistrate Judge with more than 30 years of federal courtroom experience.
  • Investigative depth: The broader team includes former federal prosecutors, a former federal defender, retired FBI agents, a retired IRS Criminal Investigation agent, and a CPA.
  • Financial analysis: In fraud and white-collar cases, that background helps us test loss, victim, restitution, and financial-record calculations.
  • Clear advice: We explain the guideline range, available arguments, and realistic risks in terms clients and their families can understand.

We can become involved before a plea, after a conviction, or when separate counsel is needed for sentencing. Earlier involvement usually provides more time to preserve objections, prepare for probation, and build the mitigation record.

Frequently asked questions

Can I get probation in federal court?

Possibly, but it is uncommon. In FY2025, 97.5% of people sentenced in the Southern District of Texas received prison time. Probation is generally limited to lower guideline ranges and is not available for some offenses, including those carrying certain mandatory minimums.

How long after a guilty plea is sentencing in Houston?

It depends on the judge and the case. Under the district’s local rule, the presentence report is normally prepared over about 35 days and disclosed at least 35 days before sentencing, so sentencing is usually set at least several weeks after the plea. Complex cases or objections can push the date later.

Can I hire a new lawyer just for sentencing?

Yes, subject to the court’s procedures and approval where required. New counsel should be in place as early as possible, ideally before the presentence interview and well before the 14-day objection deadline.

Do character letters help?

They can, when they are specific and credible. Letters that describe concrete examples of who you are, and how your absence would affect others, tend to carry more weight than general praise.

Can the judge give me more time than my plea agreement says?

In most cases, yes. Under most plea agreements, sentencing recommendations do not bind the judge. A plea under Rule 11(c)(1)(C) can bind the court to a specific sentence or range if the judge accepts the agreement, and if the judge rejects it, you generally have the right to withdraw your plea.

Can my federal sentence be reduced after I am sentenced?

Sometimes. Options include a direct appeal, a Rule 35 motion, compassionate release, and reductions based on retroactive guideline amendments. Most of these have strict deadlines or narrow requirements, so they should be reviewed quickly.

Facing Federal Scrutiny?

Speak with our federal investigations team confidentially.

24/7 Crisis Line: 325-480-8100

Engagements nationwide

The Team

Former Federal Officials.
Strategic Crisis Counsel.

Russell Lorfing Headshot

Partner

Russell Lorfing Former Federal Prosecutor

  • Multi-award-winning trial lawyer and former federal prosecutor.
  • Has handled thousands of cases and lead counsel in numerous federal trials.
  • Served as an Assistant United States Attorney in the Northern District of
  • Texas and ran a human trafficking task force on Saipan.
  • Selected for the IRS’ Director’s Award for his prosecutorial accomplishments on financial investigations.
  • Recognized nationally for his work on white-collar investigations, bringing a wealth of experience to every case.

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Brandi Young headshot

Partner

Brandi Young Former Federal Prosecutor

  • Retired from the Department of Justice as a career federal prosecutor before joining Keith & Lorfing.
  • Oversaw hundreds of federal investigations and served as lead counsel in over 30 federal jury trials.
  • Served as Supervisory Assistant United States Attorney in the Western District of Texas for nearly a decade.
  • Advises corporations and family offices on mitigation strategy and assists with internal compliance audits.

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David Sloan headshot

Partner

David Sloan Former Federal Defender

He put his trial skills to work in the courtroom, prosecuting cases for Ellis County and the District Attorney’s office in Waxahachie. His skills were recognized by the trial lawyers around him, and he went from a misdemeanor prosecutor to lead counsel on murder trials in less than three years.

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C Richard Baker headshot

Of Counsel

C. Richard Baker Former Assistant United States Attorney

Over five decades of courtroom and prosecutorial experience, including more than 30 years as an Assistant United States Attorney. A former U.S. Marine Corps officer and Vietnam veteran recognized for his trial experience in high-profile criminal matters. His command of federal criminal procedure gives clients a strategic advantage in grand jury proceedings and serious criminal exposure, with a particular passion for representing veterans.

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Scott Frost headshot

Of Counsel

Hon. Scott Frost (Ret.) Former Federal Judge

A former U.S. Magistrate Judge with over 30 years of federal courtroom experience, Judge Frost offers invaluable insight and strategic guidance in complex federal cases.

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Eric Gerard headshot

Of Counsel

Eric Gerard Former Federal Prosecutor

Eric brings decades of experience as a brilliant trial lawyer and strategic crisis counsel. While he enjoys a thriving personal injury practice, we routinely rely on his deep knowledge of federal investigations. His courtroom strategy strengthens our team’s ability to fight aggressively for clients facing serious federal charges.

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Shane Chriesman headshot

Senior Associate

Shane Chriesman Former Federal Prosecutor

Javier Rocha headshot

Strategic Advisor

Javier Rocha Family Office Executive & Attorney

A family office executive and attorney with over a decade leading privately held businesses and executive teams across complex organizations. His career has focused on governance, investments, operations, and long-term stewardship for family office functions involving billions in assets, advising billion-dollar enterprises on internal investigations, investment diligence, and succession planning. Serves as Board of Directors Chairman for Heritage School and Assistant Scoutmaster for Troop 137.

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Ann Howey Headshot

Senior Counsel

Ann Howey Former Federal Prosecutor

Ann Howey brings tenacity, sound judgment, and extensive federal court experience to complex civil and criminal matters. A former federal fraud prosecutor with a substantial civil litigation background, she combines rigorous preparation with determined advocacy for her clients.

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Advisors & Investigators

Strategic Advisors & Federal Investigators

A bench of former federal agents, prosecutors, and senior advisors who provide investigative
depth and strategic counsel on the firm’s most complex matters.

Arthur Gonzales headshot

Strategic Investigator

Arthur Gonzales Former FBI Supervisory Special Agent

Nearly three decades with the FBI in leadership roles spanning counterterrorism, organized crime, and financial crimes. Recognized nationally and internationally for expertise in complex federal investigations, crisis management, and undercover operations, and served as an instructor at the FBI Academy. Provides strategic consulting and investigative support in federal criminal defense and white-collar investigations.

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Michael Ornorff headshot

Strategic Investigator

Michael Orndorff Retired FBI Special Agent

Over two decades of federal investigative experience in terrorism, national security threats, and white-collar crime. Served as lead FBI Special Agent in the successful disruption of a terrorist plot involving Khalid Aldawsari, with deep expertise in sensitive investigations, complex evidence, and crisis response. Now advises on federal criminal defense, government investigations, and national security matters.

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Travis Thorson headshot

Strategic Investigator

Travis Thorson Retired IRS-CI Special Agent & FBI Task Force Officer

Over two decades of federal investigative experience focused on complex financial crimes, money laundering, and organized criminal enterprises. A former IRS Special Agent whose forensic accounting work was critical in tracing illicit financial activity and building federal prosecutions. Provides strategic consulting for federal criminal defense, forensic accounting, and money laundering investigations.

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Keith Quigley headshot

Special Investigator

Keith Quigley Former FBI Special Agent

Keith served as an FBI Special Agent in Lubbock for 27 years, focusing on human trafficking, crimes against children, and terrorism. Known for his collaborative leadership and relentless pursuit of justice, he now brings his expertise to our firm as Special Investigator.

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Jennifer Sparks

Strategic Investigator

Jenifer Sparks Retired FBI Special Agent & Certified Profiler

Nearly three decades of FBI experience specializing in violent crime investigations, behavioral analysis, and crimes against children. Served as a Special Agent, Supervisory Special Agent Profiler, and Coordinator of the FBI’s Child Exploitation Task Force. Provides strategic consulting in federal criminal defense, human trafficking investigations, witness credibility assessment, and behavioral analysis.

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Jennifer Cejpek headshot

Strategic Investigator

Jennifer Cejpek Former FBI Special Agent & Certified Fraud Examiner

More than two decades of federal investigative and intelligence experience specializing in healthcare fraud, financial crimes, and public corruption. As a former FBI Special Agent, she led complex federal investigations in close coordination with the Department of Justice. Background includes service as an Electronic Warfare and Intelligence Analyst in the U.S. Army and expertise in forensic interviewing. Advises on federal criminal defense, white-collar crime, and compliance matters.

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William Luttrell headshot

Strategic Advisor

William Luttrell Financial Analyst & CPA

Financial analyst and Certified Public Accountant advising the firm on complex financial matters, forensic accounting, and the analysis of records central to federal white-collar and financial crime defense.

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Recognition

Awards & Honors

Internal Revenue Service

IRS Director’s Award

For prosecutorial accomplishments on financial investigations

National Recognition

Multi-Award-Winning Trial Lawyers

Recognized nationally for white-collar investigations work

U.S. Department of Justice

Career Federal Prosecutors

Decades of distinguished service at the U.S. Department of Justice

Combined Team Experience

More Than 150 Years of Federal Law Enforcement Experience

Combined experience across DOJ, FBI, and the federal bench

Accolades & Accreditations

Client Reviews

What Our Clients Say

  • 5.0
  • Based on 361 verified Google reviews

I had a dear family friend retain Russell behind some very serious criminal charges. Russell listened and maintained contact through the whole process to assure he felt comfortable and in the loop. With Russell’s help, the case/investigation was dismissed and innocence ensured. We are so grateful for Russell’s dedication and professionalism. Would definitely recommend

  • Jaileen Ceballo
  • Google Review

Our personal experience could not have been better. These attorneys worked diligently and stayed in constant contact with us regarding the developments in our case. We always had the final say in any offers made by the prosecution. If I could only say one thing about them it would be “they listen” I always felt that my opinion was heard and considered. We discussed everything good and bad. When a decision was finally agreed on we felt it was the very best and truthfully an almost unbelievable outcome. I never want to find my family in the midst or subject of a criminal case ever again but if it happens my first and only call will be to this law firm. Big thanks to Russell and Chris on a job well done. And the office staff are simply amazing! Always polite, knowledgeable, and professional. Thank you all for treating us as family and working so hard to bring this case to a great conclusion.

  • Kathy Lindley
  • Google Review

I had a legal case that was difficult for me, and Russell Lorfing was very helpful throughout the process, advocating for me and working with me throughout the whole process. He was quite accessible as well whether by phone or email, and his staff was also quite helpful to reach out to. Russell was very systematic in going through the evidence that we had in building a case and gave pragmatic explanations on his views considering all the evidence. He also gave me the confidence several times during the process that the evidence for my case was sufficient in building a strong defense. I appreciate very much that he did not sugarcoat my situation and was patient in addressing concerns I had along the way. I strongly recommend Russell for anyone going through a difficult legal battle.

  • Michael Brown
  • Google Review

Russell was representing another client in federal court and my family saw him in action and we immediately fired our lawyer and hired Russell on the spot. One of the best decisions we’ve ever made. My brother’s case was very serious as he was looking at 40 years Fed for distribution of methamphetamine. Russell is very connected and well respected when it comes to law. He has great history in the courts with judges and prosecutors. Russell will not sell you a dream—he will shoot you straight and will not sugar coat anything. Russell was able to get my brother’s sentence cut in HALF to something way more reasonable.

  • Nick Mendez
  • Google Review

Russell Lorfing is THE guy you hire if you’ve been charged with a federal crime in West Texas. My fiancé was charged with a serious federal charge and we needed an experienced defense lawyer. He is one of the most honest lawyers you will find—he tells you exactly how things are and answers your questions honestly. He was looking at 13+ years, and now is looking at 5 years thanks to Mr. Lorfing, who did not rest until he was able to get him something better.

  • Verified Client
  • Google Review

My son is on State and Federal Parole. He was in a lot of trouble that could have landed him in prison for many years. Russell took my son’s case and has done a great job. Russell was able to get the state charges against my son dismissed—my son was looking at a minimum of twenty-five years. Russell also got my son a great plea deal with my son’s federal case. The Keith & Lorfing team treated us as if we were family. I recommend Keith & Lorfing to everybody.

  • Hazel Jefferson
  • Google Review

My entire experience with Keith and Lorfing has been great. I was facing the possibility of a 15 year MINIMUM sentence. Mr. Lorfing was very honest and made no promises but he reassured me that his main goal was to keep me out of prison. He did just that and I was able to sign for 6 years probation instead. I highly recommend Keith and Lorfing for anyone in need of a confident and experienced defense attorney.

  • Blanca Berumen
  • Google Review

My husband and I had a great experience working with Russell Lorfing. He managed to get my brother-in-law’s federal case dismissed in a short period of time. Mr. Lorfing is caring and is in constant contact with you and your family. He is a great federal defense lawyer. He is highly recommended!

  • Yoleny Palacios
  • Google Review

I wanted to express my deepest gratitude for the incredible support and expertise you provided to my family member. Your dedication and hard work made a world of difference during a challenging time. Thank you for going above and beyond to ensure the best possible outcome. We will strongly encourage anyone that is experiencing any case to consider Russell Lorfing Esq. to represent them.

  • Adrienne Holmes
  • Google Review

At the first of our situation we were scared and didn’t know where to begin. My wife made a phone call to Keith & Lorfing just to see where to begin—turned out to be the best decision! Russell and Chris from Keith & Lorfing were absolute professionals. They were the smartest and most prepared in the courtroom. Extremely impressed! They gave us our life back and could not thank them enough for what they did!

  • Aaron Wood
  • Google Review

I had the privilege of working with Keith and Lorfing for my criminal defense case, and I cannot recommend them highly enough. From the initial consultation to the courtroom proceedings, Keith and Lorfing demonstrated a deep understanding of the law and a commitment to protecting my rights. Thanks to their diligent efforts and sharp legal acumen, they successfully navigated the complexities of my case and ultimately secured a dismissal.

  • Adrien Strahan
  • Google Review

Russell was recommended to me by several people and we are so lucky to have found him! He was able to get a potential 7 year sentence down to only 9 months. Not to mention he and everyone at the law firm was so kind and helpful. It felt more like a family than a law firm. Would recommend to anyone who is in a tough spot.

  • Georgia Fuller
  • Google Review

A referral that I am very glad I was given. Not only did he meet the expectations I had heard from the referral, but exceeded them beyond measure. The process was simple and I was very comfortable and confident throughout. Mr. Lorfing and his associates are amazing and helpful. 10/10 recommended for their honesty and assistance.

  • Matthew Godinez
  • Google Review

Absolutely the best lawyer and staff I’ve ever met. He was more concerned with telling me the facts of where I stood legally than taking my case just for his financial gain. If I ever need any more legal help, I will go to their firm.

  • Kris Knight
  • Google Review

I am truly thankful for all you have done for me and my case. My family and I greatly appreciate everything you have done. I am greatly and truly impressed with the outcome. You were great at getting the answers for any question I had and explaining what everything meant. You are very outstanding and have done an amazing job. Thank you so much Russell!

  • Amy Rodriguez
  • Google Review

Russell did an amazing job. My case truly was a hail Mary. Lots of threading the needle and moving parts was an understatement. It’s a true testament that if someone wants to really change and will help him help themselves, he can and will.

  • Andy Dunlap
  • Google Review

Russell was an incredible advocate for my family. He regularly communicated with us and made us feel like we were his priority. My brother was looking at a mandatory minimum ten years in federal prison with a maximum possible sentence of life. He ended up pleading to a much less serious crime and serving less than a year. If you’ve been charged with a federal crime in West Texas, Russell Lorfing is THE ATTORNEY you hire.

  • Willie Kershaw
  • Google Review

After I was initially charged, I was swimming in a pool of despair. After my initial intake appointment there was a welcoming presence and a pedigree of honesty with my circumstances. Nothing was sugarcoated but they never made me feel like what I wanted was out of question. I couldn’t be more thrilled about the outcome—Keith literally reached into the depths of the justice system and pulled me out untarnished.

  • Williwill777
  • Google Review

Thank you Mr. Lorfing for your work getting my family member’s Federal MTR Dismissed. We know the time crunch made communication difficult so a special shout out to his legal assistant Wendi as well for getting back with me and reassuring our family things were getting done behind the scenes. We couldn’t have asked for a better outcome.

  • Brooklyn Martinez
  • Google Review

Mr. Lorfing is AMAZING! He is truly a miracle worker! My brother got into deep trouble, so we contacted the best lawyer to represent him. While most lawyers bring up payment options first, he listened to our story first. Mr. Lorfing resolved it before it got way worse and treated us like family. The Lorfing Law Firm is the way to go. He saved my brother and saved my family from heartaches.

  • MJ D
  • Google Review

Mr. Lorfing is different. He really cares about justice being served. He did a wonderful job with my son as his client. Mr. Lorfing doesn’t accept the usual outcomes of a case. He delves into all possibilities and outcomes for his clients and puts forth great effort when representing his clients. He is a very good lawyer.

  • Tammy Foster
  • Google Review

I had a complicated case and this man really did his job—and did it in no time. I’m so happy with his professionalism and empathy towards me. He really had my back. Thank you Mr. Lorfing.

  • Amy Kilough
  • Google Review

Confidential Consultation

Facing Federal Scrutiny? Act Early.

Early strategic intervention can significantly impact the course of a federal investigation. Contact our investigations team for a confidential consultation.